3 Ways to Overcome Trading Fear
Stockscores Foundation for the week ending January 25, 2021
In this week's issue:
In This Week’s Issue:
- Stockscores Market Minutes Video – Before You Day Trade, Watch This
- Stockscores Trader Training – 3 Ways to Overcome Trading Fear
- Stockscores Feature Strategy – Abnormal Breaks
Stockscores Market Minutes – Before You Day Trade, Watch This
Day trading is easy, right? It is simple but it is far from easy. Aspiring day traders need to know some things so that they have realistic expectations. This week, I share some of what I have learned from 30 years of trading, provide my market analysis, look at the day trade of the week on MKD and run a market scan in search of longer term opportunities.
Click here to watch this week's Market Minutes video
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Commentary of the Week – 3 Ways to Overcome Trading Fear
I think many traders have a hard time believing they can make money by buying a stock and waiting. Most of us are not taught to make our money work for us but instead that we must work for our money. Go to a job, put in the time and you get a paycheck. Work hard, and your paychecks will grow. But the thought that you can make money by putting your feet up is a difficult thing to grasp.
With that mental programming, most of us have difficulty holding on to our strong stocks and letting the profits grow. If we buy a stock at $1 and it goes up to $1.20 in a couple of days, we are likely to sell. In some ways we think of this fast return as good luck, not much different than buying a winning lottery ticket. We have a fear that someone is going to figure out that we have benefited from a mistake, and so we better get out now before we get discovered.
This thinking is strengthened when we take a trade that's less than ideal and it goes down as quickly as it went up. If we take a marginal trade we should expect marginal results, but somehow we only remember the negative feeling of watching a paper profit turn into a loss. We tell ourselves that next time we will sell at the first sign of weakness and crystallize the gain. Avoiding pain is human nature.
Our next trade is of higher quality but we sell it on a short-term weakness and lock in a quick but relatively small profit. While lost in self-congratulations we realize that someone named Murphy is writing the laws of trading, and we watch the stock march ever higher with us eating the stock's dust. We have jumped off a high-speed bus that is headed for Profit City.
What is behind this destructive behavior? It's that deep-rooted emotional response to danger that keeps us out of trouble but also makes us avoid a greater feeling of fulfilment.
Fear is what makes us sell our winners too early and hold our losers too long.
The best traders are not afraid of holding on to strong stocks, they are afraid of holding on to losing stocks. What do you do when you trade?
If you are a normal human being, you do the opposite of what the pros do. Think about the last loser that you owned. As the stock fell lower and lower, what was it that you told yourself over and over?
"It'll bounce back eventually. I'll just be patient."
What your subconscious mind was really saying was, "It's much too painful to sell this loser and see that loss of my hard-earned capital. I'll hold on with the hope that it goes back to what I paid for it and then I'll sell." And of course, it continued lower because there was something wrong with the company and it deserved to go lower.
So what can we do to fight our destructive minds? How can we program ourselves to hold on to our winners and dump the losers? How can we trade without fear? Here are three of my seven criteria for fearless trading:
Only Trade Quality
Our fears are confirmed when we enter marginal trades. If you only trade the best opportunities, you will trade less but you will have greater success. This will put you on the road to fearless trading and help you simplify your trading approach. Write down your rules and do nothing unless every rule is satisfied. When you consider a stock, look for a reason to avoid the trade. If you can't find one, then you have a trade worth taking.
Buy with Confidence
The rules that you trade with must have a foundation of success. You must believe in your rules or you won't believe in holding the stock through the shakeout periods in the longer-term up trend. Analyze and test the strategy until you have proven to yourself that it works. Then trade it slowly without a lot of risk, so you can gain a greater level of confidence that it works.
Don't Watch the Scoreboard
Sports fans don't spend a lot of time watching the scoreboard during a game. It only matters when the game is over. In trading, the scoreboard is the profit and loss figure for your account. If you focus on the scoreboard, it is likely that you will lose sight of what's happening in the game. As a technical trader, all that matters to me is what the chart is telling me.
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This week, I ran the Abnormal Breaks Market Scans and inspected the charts that the scanner found, looking for breakouts from predictive chart patterns. Here is one name that has a good chart.
IVR is breaking up from a lengthy sideways trading range, the lack of abnormal volume hurts the quality, 6/10.
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DVAX showing a good bottom fishing pattern, breaking up from an optimistic pattern after breaking its downward trend line in November. 7/10.
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LCI showing a nice pattern break but the lack of abnormal volume hurts the quality. 6/10.
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